{"id":8238,"date":"2025-10-27T11:57:05","date_gmt":"2025-10-27T10:57:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/nersc.no\/?p=8238"},"modified":"2025-10-27T13:18:43","modified_gmt":"2025-10-27T12:18:43","slug":"new-knowledge-about-a-changing-climate","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/nersc.no\/en\/features\/new-knowledge-about-a-changing-climate\/","title":{"rendered":"New knowledge about a changing climate"},"content":{"rendered":"

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New knowledge about a changing climate<\/h1><\/div>[vc_column_text css=””]Sea levels along the Norwegian coast could rise by up to one meter by 2100, and the risk of extreme weather, floods, and landslides is increasing.<\/strong><\/p>\n

This is stated in the new national knowledge report Climate in Norway \u2013 Knowledge Base for Climate Adaptation (2025)<\/em>, prepared by researchers from eleven Norwegian institutions. Several of the contributions come from the Nansen Center, which has played a key role in the work on sea level and climate prediction.<\/p>\n

Read the report here<\/a><\/u>.<\/strong><\/p>\n

The report Climate in Norway<\/em> was commissioned by the Norwegian Environment Agency and provides an overview of how the climate is expected to change in Norway and neighboring areas over the next few decades. It is based on analyses of both observations and various models. By combining historical data with future scenarios, researchers provide a picture of the climate risks society must prepare for. These include an increased risk of extreme weather, sea-level changes, landslides, and changes in precipitation patterns. Such insights are crucial for the development of effective climate adaptation strategies, both locally and nationally.<\/p>\n

Sea level, waves, and the future coastal climate<\/strong>
\nThe Nansen Center has contributed to the report with assessments of sea-level developments along the Norwegian coast, based on both remote sensing and in-situ measurements. The Center\u2019s specialised expertise in satellite data has been central to the work of observing and understanding sea-level changes. In collaboration with partners, the report also analyses how ocean waves influence sea level, and how storm surges and wave conditions may change in the coming decades and centuries. The report concludes that if global climate emissions are not reduced, sea levels along the coast could rise by several decimeters by 2100, and in the worst case, by more than one meter. Local differences will occur due to geographical variations, and the consequences for coastal communities, infrastructure, and emergency preparedness could be significant.<\/p>\n

Climate prediction: Status and opportunities<\/strong>
\nIn addition to the work on sea level, the Nansen Center has contributed to a chapter on climate prediction. Here, researchers summarise the current state of climate\u00a0prediction\u00a0in Norway, for instance,\u00a0that one can predict temperature anomaly several years ahead, but also describe\u00a0the existing limitations, and where there is room for improvement. One important area of development is the ability to\u00a0improve\u00a0predictions of\u00a0climate changes on shorter timescales,\u00a0building a seamless prediction system that serves from beyond weather forecasts\u00a0to several decades\u00a0away. The chapter also explains why it is actually possible to predict climate in the longer term, and the key role the ocean plays in this work,\u00a0as demonstrated with\u00a0the Norwegian\u00a0Climate Prediction Model co-developed\u00a0at the Nansen Center.<\/p>\n

\u201cUsing climate prediction can help society to be better prepared for the changes that are coming \u2013 both natural fluctuations in the climate and the risks that are increasing due to global warming. If researchers and society can work together to further develop climate predictions, society can be even better equipped for what is to come,\u201d says Helene R. Langehaug, senior researcher and co-author of the climate prediction chapter.<\/p>\n

The report Climate in Norway<\/em> provides a solid and up-to-date knowledge base for addressing climate challenges in Norway. Contributions from the Nansen Center, in the areas of sea level and climate prediction, show how research-based insights can contribute to better understanding and planning. When the climate is changing rapidly, it is crucial that society has access to accurate and relevant information. This report is an important tool for decision-makers, professional communities, and local communities that need to prepare for the future.<\/p>\n

Key researchers:<\/strong> Antonio Bonaduce<\/a><\/u>, Fran\u00e7ois Counillon<\/a><\/u>, Helene R. Langehaug<\/a><\/u>[\/vc_column_text][\/vc_column][vc_column width=”1\/3″ css=”.vc_custom_1695033709348{padding-right: 0px !important;}”]

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The report<\/strong><\/h3>\n

The report Climate in Norway \u2013 Knowledge Base for Climate Adaptation (2025)<\/em>, can be downloaded from the website of the Norwegian Centre for Climate Services (in Norwegian). Find it here<\/a><\/u>.<\/p><\/div>

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Contributors<\/strong><\/h3>\n

Led by the Norwegian Centre for Climate Services, eleven partners have contributed to the report: the Norwegian Meteorological Institute (MET Norway), the Norwegian Water Resources and Energy Directorate (NVE), NORCE, the Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research, the University of Bergen (UiB), the Norwegian Geotechnical Institute (NGI), the Norwegian Mapping Authority (Kartverket), the Institute of Marine Research (IMR), the Norwegian Institute for Water Research (NIVA), the Nansen Environmental and Remote Sensing Center (NERSC), and Norconsult Norge AS.<\/p><\/div>

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The report in the news<\/strong><\/h3>\n

Among others, NRK is covering the launch of the report, read more here<\/a><\/u> (in Norwegian).<\/p><\/div>[\/vc_column][\/vc_row]<\/p>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

[vc_row][vc_column][\/vc_column][\/vc_row][vc_row][vc_column width=”2\/3″ css=”.vc_custom_1693479579188{background-color: #ffffff !important;}”][vc_column_text css=””]Sea levels along the Norwegian coast could rise by up to one meter by 2100, and the risk of extreme weather, floods, and landslides is increasing. This is stated in the new national knowledge report Climate in Norway \u2013 Knowledge Base for Climate Adaptation (2025), prepared by researchers from eleven […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":8240,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_relevanssi_hide_post":"","_relevanssi_hide_content":"","_relevanssi_pin_for_all":"","_relevanssi_pin_keywords":"","_relevanssi_unpin_keywords":"","_relevanssi_related_keywords":"","_relevanssi_related_include_ids":"","_relevanssi_related_exclude_ids":"","_relevanssi_related_no_append":"","_relevanssi_related_not_related":"","_relevanssi_related_posts":"","_relevanssi_noindex_reason":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[80],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-8238","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-features"],"acf":[],"publishpress_future_action":{"enabled":false,"date":"2026-04-23 14:34:59","action":"change-status","newStatus":"draft","terms":[],"taxonomy":"category","extraData":[]},"publishpress_future_workflow_manual_trigger":{"enabledWorkflows":[]},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/nersc.no\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8238","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/nersc.no\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/nersc.no\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nersc.no\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nersc.no\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=8238"}],"version-history":[{"count":6,"href":"https:\/\/nersc.no\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8238\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":8251,"href":"https:\/\/nersc.no\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8238\/revisions\/8251"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nersc.no\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/8240"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/nersc.no\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=8238"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nersc.no\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=8238"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nersc.no\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=8238"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}