{"id":4258,"date":"2023-09-27T09:21:30","date_gmt":"2023-09-27T07:21:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/nersc.no\/?page_id=4258"},"modified":"2025-10-06T14:25:54","modified_gmt":"2025-10-06T12:25:54","slug":"forecasts-for-up-to-ten-years","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/nersc.no\/en\/products-and-services\/climate\/forecasts-for-up-to-ten-years\/","title":{"rendered":"Predictions for up to ten years"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"wpb-content-wrapper\"><p>[vc_section css=&#8221;.vc_custom_1669014075681{background-color: #ffffff !important;}&#8221; el_class=&#8221;full-image&#8221;][vc_row][vc_column]\n\t\t\t<figure class=\"standard-image fill no-caption left\">\n\t\t\t\t<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1920\" height=\"648\" src=\"https:\/\/nersc.no\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/ar-til-tiarsvarsel-AS_434327246.jpg\" class=\"attachment-img-xxl size-img-xxl\" alt=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/nersc.no\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/ar-til-tiarsvarsel-AS_434327246.jpg 1920w, https:\/\/nersc.no\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/ar-til-tiarsvarsel-AS_434327246-300x101.jpg 300w, https:\/\/nersc.no\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/ar-til-tiarsvarsel-AS_434327246-1024x346.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/nersc.no\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/ar-til-tiarsvarsel-AS_434327246-768x259.jpg 768w, https:\/\/nersc.no\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/ar-til-tiarsvarsel-AS_434327246-1536x518.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/nersc.no\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/ar-til-tiarsvarsel-AS_434327246-520x176.jpg 520w, https:\/\/nersc.no\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/ar-til-tiarsvarsel-AS_434327246-800x270.jpg 800w, https:\/\/nersc.no\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/ar-til-tiarsvarsel-AS_434327246-1600x540.jpg 1600w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1920px) 100vw, 1920px\" \/>\n\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t<\/figure>[\/vc_column][\/vc_row][vc_row][vc_column width=&#8221;1\/6&#8243;][\/vc_column][vc_column width=&#8221;2\/3&#8243;]<div class=\"header center  \"><h1 class=\"heading-2\" title=\"Predictions for up to ten years\">Predictions for up to ten years<\/h1><\/div><div class=\"header center  \"><p class=\"heading-3\" title=\"The Nansen Center participates in the development of NorCPM, The Norwegian Climate Prediction Model, which is used to simulate future climate. We deliver predictions for periods of 1 to 10 years to, among others, the World Meteorological Organization, WMO.\">The Nansen Center participates in the development of NorCPM, The Norwegian Climate Prediction Model, which is used to simulate future climate. We deliver predictions for periods of 1 to 10 years to, among others, the World Meteorological Organization, WMO.<\/p><\/div>[vc_column_text css=&#8221;&#8221;]<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">The WMO publishes annual reports focusing on the global climate for the coming and next five years. NorCPM simulations are also used in the CMIP6-DCPP (Decadal Climate Prediction Project), where data from many international modelling centers are used in predictions for likely climate developments in the coming years. Data from NorCPM were also used as a basis for the UN&#8217;s climate report no. 6. Here, global changes and consequences were highlighted in a ten-year perspective. Model data from NorCPM is also part of the &#8220;Impetus4Change&#8221; project. The project compiles information on the local consequences of climate change for cities.<\/p>\n<p>[\/vc_column_text]<div class=\"infobox teal\">\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">For more information, contact <a href=\"https:\/\/nersc.no\/en\/ansatt\/francois-counillon\/\"><strong>research leader Fran\u00e7ois Counillon<\/strong><\/a>.<\/p>\n<\/div>[\/vc_column][vc_column width=&#8221;1\/6&#8243;][\/vc_column][\/vc_row][\/vc_section][vc_row][vc_column]<div class=\"spacer\" style=\"--space-sm: 30px;--space-md: 30px;--space-lg: 30px;--space-xl: 30px;\"><\/div><div class=\"header left  \"><h2 class=\"heading-3\" title=\"Reports\">Reports<\/h2><\/div><div class='row infobox-wapper image-align-left'>\t<div class='col-lg-4 col-md-4 col-sm-12 left'>\t    <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"2560\" height=\"1450\" src=\"https:\/\/nersc.no\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/rapporter-scaled.jpg\" class=\"attachment-img-sm size-img-sm\" alt=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/nersc.no\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/rapporter-scaled.jpg 2560w, https:\/\/nersc.no\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/rapporter-300x170.jpg 300w, https:\/\/nersc.no\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/rapporter-1024x580.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/nersc.no\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/rapporter-768x435.jpg 768w, https:\/\/nersc.no\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/rapporter-1536x870.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/nersc.no\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/rapporter-2048x1160.jpg 2048w, https:\/\/nersc.no\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/rapporter-520x295.jpg 520w, https:\/\/nersc.no\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/rapporter-800x453.jpg 800w, https:\/\/nersc.no\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/rapporter-1600x906.jpg 1600w, https:\/\/nersc.no\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/rapporter-1920x1088.jpg 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2560px) 100vw, 2560px\" \/>\t<\/div>\t<div class='col-lg-8 col-md-8 col-sm-12 right'>\t\t<div class=\"infobox white\"><p>For access to visualised predictions and aggregated information about the climate in the coming years, produced by the WMO Lead Center for Annual-to-Decadal Climate Prediction, go to the <span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/hadleyserver.metoffice.gov.uk\/wmolc\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">center-website<\/a><\/span><\/p><\/div>\t<\/div><\/div>[\/vc_column][\/vc_row]<\/p>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>[vc_section css=&#8221;.vc_custom_1669014075681{background-color: #ffffff !important;}&#8221; el_class=&#8221;full-image&#8221;][vc_row][vc_column][\/vc_column][\/vc_row][vc_row][vc_column width=&#8221;1\/6&#8243;][\/vc_column][vc_column width=&#8221;2\/3&#8243;][vc_column_text css=&#8221;&#8221;] The WMO publishes annual reports focusing on the global climate for the coming and next five years. NorCPM simulations are also used in the CMIP6-DCPP (Decadal Climate Prediction Project), where data from many international modelling centers are used in predictions for likely climate developments in the coming [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":0,"parent":4241,"menu_order":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_relevanssi_hide_post":"","_relevanssi_hide_content":"","_relevanssi_pin_for_all":"","_relevanssi_pin_keywords":"","_relevanssi_unpin_keywords":"","_relevanssi_related_keywords":"","_relevanssi_related_include_ids":"","_relevanssi_related_exclude_ids":"","_relevanssi_related_no_append":"","_relevanssi_related_not_related":"","_relevanssi_related_posts":"","_relevanssi_noindex_reason":"","footnotes":""},"class_list":["post-4258","page","type-page","status-publish","hentry"],"acf":[],"publishpress_future_action":{"enabled":false,"date":"2026-05-08 13:45:57","action":"change-status","newStatus":"draft","terms":[],"taxonomy":"translation_priority","extraData":[]},"publishpress_future_workflow_manual_trigger":{"enabledWorkflows":[]},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/nersc.no\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/4258","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/nersc.no\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/nersc.no\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/page"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nersc.no\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nersc.no\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=4258"}],"version-history":[{"count":6,"href":"https:\/\/nersc.no\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/4258\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":8168,"href":"https:\/\/nersc.no\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/4258\/revisions\/8168"}],"up":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nersc.no\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/4241"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/nersc.no\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=4258"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}