{"id":4253,"date":"2023-08-15T12:38:53","date_gmt":"2023-08-15T10:38:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/nersc.no\/?page_id=4253"},"modified":"2025-10-06T14:22:06","modified_gmt":"2025-10-06T12:22:06","slug":"seasonal-forecasts","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/nersc.no\/en\/products-and-services\/climate\/seasonal-forecasts\/","title":{"rendered":"Seasonal predictions"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"wpb-content-wrapper\"><p>[vc_section css=&#8221;.vc_custom_1669014075681{background-color: #ffffff !important;}&#8221; el_class=&#8221;full-image&#8221;][vc_row][vc_column]\n\t\t\t<figure class=\"standard-image fill no-caption left\">\n\t\t\t\t<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1920\" height=\"648\" src=\"https:\/\/nersc.no\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/sesongvarsel-AS_444310333.jpg\" class=\"attachment-img-xxl size-img-xxl\" alt=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/nersc.no\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/sesongvarsel-AS_444310333.jpg 1920w, https:\/\/nersc.no\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/sesongvarsel-AS_444310333-300x101.jpg 300w, https:\/\/nersc.no\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/sesongvarsel-AS_444310333-1024x346.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/nersc.no\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/sesongvarsel-AS_444310333-768x259.jpg 768w, https:\/\/nersc.no\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/sesongvarsel-AS_444310333-1536x518.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/nersc.no\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/sesongvarsel-AS_444310333-520x176.jpg 520w, https:\/\/nersc.no\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/sesongvarsel-AS_444310333-800x270.jpg 800w, https:\/\/nersc.no\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/sesongvarsel-AS_444310333-1600x540.jpg 1600w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1920px) 100vw, 1920px\" \/>\n\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t<\/figure>[\/vc_column][\/vc_row][vc_row][vc_column width=&#8221;1\/6&#8243;][\/vc_column][vc_column width=&#8221;2\/3&#8243;]<div class=\"header center  \"><h1 class=\"heading-2\" title=\"Seasonal predictions\">Seasonal predictions<\/h1><\/div><div class=\"header center  \"><p class=\"heading-3\" title=\"Seasonal prediction is a relatively new field of research, which will meet a growing administrative and societal need for relevant, advanced, and applicable predictions for longer periods than ordinary weather forecasts.\">Seasonal prediction is a relatively new field of research, which will meet a growing administrative and societal need for relevant, advanced, and applicable predictions for longer periods than ordinary weather forecasts.<\/p><\/div>[vc_column_text css=&#8221;&#8221;]<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">The Nansen Center has had a central role in the development of the &#8220;Norwegian climate prediction model&#8221;, NorCPM. The model can produce simulations of both past and future climate, including seasonal predictions that apply a few months into the future. The predictions are produced by adding large amounts of measurement data to the model.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">By comparing the results, we find climate trends, for example whether the coming period will be wetter or colder than normal. Such trends are often caused by slow changes in the ocean, in the atmosphere, or on land.<\/p>\n<p>[\/vc_column_text]<div class=\"infobox teal\">\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">For more information, contact <a href=\"https:\/\/nersc.no\/en\/ansatt\/francois-counillon\/\"><strong>research leader Fran\u00e7ois Counillon<\/strong><\/a>.<\/p>\n<\/div>[\/vc_column][vc_column width=&#8221;1\/6&#8243;][\/vc_column][\/vc_row][\/vc_section][vc_row][vc_column]<div class=\"spacer\" style=\"--space-sm: 30px;--space-md: 30px;--space-lg: 30px;--space-xl: 30px;\"><\/div><div class=\"header left  \"><h2 class=\"heading-3\" title=\"Datasets\">Datasets<\/h2><\/div><div class='row infobox-wapper image-align-left'>\t<div class='col-lg-4 col-md-4 col-sm-12 left'>\t    <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1452\" height=\"823\" src=\"https:\/\/nersc.no\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/datasett_vis_varsel.jpg\" class=\"attachment-img-sm size-img-sm\" alt=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/nersc.no\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/datasett_vis_varsel.jpg 1452w, https:\/\/nersc.no\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/datasett_vis_varsel-300x170.jpg 300w, https:\/\/nersc.no\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/datasett_vis_varsel-1024x580.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/nersc.no\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/datasett_vis_varsel-768x435.jpg 768w, https:\/\/nersc.no\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/datasett_vis_varsel-520x295.jpg 520w, https:\/\/nersc.no\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/datasett_vis_varsel-800x453.jpg 800w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1452px) 100vw, 1452px\" \/>\t<\/div>\t<div class='col-lg-8 col-md-8 col-sm-12 right'>\t\t<div class=\"infobox white\"><p>For access to visualised predictions of the climate some weeks to months ahead of time, go to <span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/bcpu.w.uib.no\/seasonal-forecast\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">NorCPM seasonal forecast<\/a><\/span><\/p><\/div>\t<\/div><\/div><div class=\"spacer\" style=\"--space-sm: 10px;--space-md: 10px;--space-lg: 10px;--space-xl: 10px;\"><\/div><div class=\"header left  \"><h2 class=\"heading-3\" title=\"Datasets\">Datasets<\/h2><\/div><div class='row infobox-wapper image-align-left'>\t<div class='col-lg-4 col-md-4 col-sm-12 left'>\t    <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1452\" height=\"823\" src=\"https:\/\/nersc.no\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/datasett_vis_varsel.jpg\" class=\"attachment-img-sm size-img-sm\" alt=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/nersc.no\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/datasett_vis_varsel.jpg 1452w, https:\/\/nersc.no\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/datasett_vis_varsel-300x170.jpg 300w, https:\/\/nersc.no\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/datasett_vis_varsel-1024x580.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/nersc.no\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/datasett_vis_varsel-768x435.jpg 768w, https:\/\/nersc.no\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/datasett_vis_varsel-520x295.jpg 520w, https:\/\/nersc.no\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/datasett_vis_varsel-800x453.jpg 800w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1452px) 100vw, 1452px\" \/>\t<\/div>\t<div class='col-lg-8 col-md-8 col-sm-12 right'>\t\t<div class=\"infobox white\"><p>For access to visualised predictions of the climate some weeks to months ahead of time, go to <a href=\"https:\/\/klimavarsling.no\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">Seasonal forecasts from Climate Futures<\/span><\/a><\/p><\/div>\t<\/div><\/div>[\/vc_column][\/vc_row]<\/p>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>[vc_section css=&#8221;.vc_custom_1669014075681{background-color: #ffffff !important;}&#8221; el_class=&#8221;full-image&#8221;][vc_row][vc_column][\/vc_column][\/vc_row][vc_row][vc_column width=&#8221;1\/6&#8243;][\/vc_column][vc_column width=&#8221;2\/3&#8243;][vc_column_text css=&#8221;&#8221;] The Nansen Center has had a central role in the development of the &#8220;Norwegian climate prediction model&#8221;, NorCPM. The model can produce simulations of both past and future climate, including seasonal predictions that apply a few months into the future. The predictions are produced by adding large [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":0,"parent":4241,"menu_order":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_relevanssi_hide_post":"","_relevanssi_hide_content":"","_relevanssi_pin_for_all":"","_relevanssi_pin_keywords":"","_relevanssi_unpin_keywords":"","_relevanssi_related_keywords":"","_relevanssi_related_include_ids":"","_relevanssi_related_exclude_ids":"","_relevanssi_related_no_append":"","_relevanssi_related_not_related":"","_relevanssi_related_posts":"","_relevanssi_noindex_reason":"","footnotes":""},"class_list":["post-4253","page","type-page","status-publish","hentry"],"acf":[],"publishpress_future_action":{"enabled":false,"date":"2026-05-08 15:10:18","action":"change-status","newStatus":"draft","terms":[],"taxonomy":"translation_priority","extraData":[]},"publishpress_future_workflow_manual_trigger":{"enabledWorkflows":[]},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/nersc.no\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/4253","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/nersc.no\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/nersc.no\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/page"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nersc.no\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nersc.no\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=4253"}],"version-history":[{"count":7,"href":"https:\/\/nersc.no\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/4253\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":8166,"href":"https:\/\/nersc.no\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/4253\/revisions\/8166"}],"up":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nersc.no\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/4241"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/nersc.no\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=4253"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}